Differences

This shows you the differences between two versions of the page.

--- public:sotm:updown [2021/11/04 19:49] – ↷ Page moved from sotm:updown to public:sotm:updown raju
+++ public:sotm:updown [2023/08/18 15:23] – [2023-05-22 Why is Costco down today?] raju
@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
+==== 2021-05 ====
 ^ Date ^ market ^ possibly because ^
 | 2021-05-18 | down | in anticipation of FOMC minutes on 2021-05-19. |
@@ Line 13: / Line 13: @@
 | 2021-06-16 | down |  -54 | FOMC Rate Decision at 2 PM. \\ Actual = 0.125%, expected = 0.125%, prior = 0.125%|
+==== 2021-07 ====
 ^ Date ^ Day ^ market ^ notes ^
 | 2021-07-08 | Thu | previous close: 4358.13 \\ today open: 4321.07 \\ today close: 4320.82 \\ close to close ret: -86 bps | Market went down a lot between 2021-07-07 close and 2021-07-08 open.\\ It then recovered during regular trading hours on 2021-07-08.\\ US 30 year treasury rate dipped below 1.90. |
@@ Line 23: / Line 24: @@
 </WRAP> |
 | 2021-07-20 | Tue | previous close: 4,258.49 \\ today open: 4,265.11 \\ today close: 4,323.06 \\ close to close ret: <fill this; should be in bps>| |
+==== 2022-05 ====
+asof | 2022-05-05 12:04 pm
+  * S&P 500 dropped 4.1%
+  * 10-year Treasury yield rose from 2.914% to 3.084%.
+==== 2022-09-13 ====
+On 2022-09-13
+  * S&P 500 dropped from 4,110.41 (closing price on 2022-09-12) to 3,932.69 (closing price on 2022-09-13)
+  * S&P 500 return = -4.32% (= round(((3932.69 / 4110.41) - 1)*100, 2)
+  * 10-year U.S. Treasury yield went up from 3.297% to 3.422%
+  * CPI annual return
+    * 2022-08, 8.3%
+    * 2022-07, 8.5%
+    * 2022-06, 9.1%
+  * core CPI annual return
+    * 2022-08, 6.3%
+    * 2022-07, 5.9%
+    * 2022-06, 5.9%
+Ref:-
+  * https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/
+  * https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-august-2022-consumer-price-index-11663017630
+==== 2023-04-20 why is costco up today? ====
+Observation:
+  * time = 2023-04-20 12:04 pm
+  * prices = {VOO: \$378.69, COST: \$508.36}
+  * returns = {VOO: 48 bps, COST: 249 bps}
+Hypothesis:
+  * On 2023-04-19, Costco announced that they will be increasing the cash dividend from 90 cents to $1.02 per share. The dividend is payable May 19, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 5, 2023.
+    * Ref:- https://investor.costco.com/news/news-details/2023/Costco-Wholesale-Corporation-Announces-an-Increase-in-Its-Quarterly-Cash-Dividend/default.aspx Costco is increasing .
+==== 2023-05-22 Why is Costco down today? ====
+Observation:
+^ Stock ^ 2023-05-19 close (\$) ^ 2023-05-22 close (\$) ^ 2023-05-22 return (bps) ^
+| COST |  496.52 |  491.87 |  -94 |
+| VOO |  384.57 |  384.78 |  5 |
+Is there anything that could explain this?
+I checked
+  * No dividends are paid on either 5/19 or 5/22
+  * No news on https://investor.costco.com/news/default.aspx
+What else?
+Ref:
+  * https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/COST/history?p=COST
+  * https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VOO/history?p=VOO
+==== 2023-08-18 VOO vs. 10 year treasuries yield ====
+  * From Aug 1st 2023 through Aug 17th 2023, VOO went down ~5% (from $420 to $400); US 10 year note went up 25 bps (from 4.05 bps to 4.30 bps).