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diary:2024-05:2024-05-31

2024-05-31

tags | understanding market moves

  • Today (2024-05-31) market was going down until 12:30 pm and then continuously went up till 4 pm
  • Emini SP500 on previous day at 4 pm = 5251.50, today at 12:30 pm = 5208.75, today at 4 pm = 5296.75
  • In terms of macro news
    Friday May 31 2024                                  Actual    Previous    Consensus    Forecast
    08:30 AM US Core PCE Price Index MoM APR            0.2%      0.3%        0.3%         0.2%
    08:30 AM US Personal Income MoM APR                 0.3%      0.5%        0.3%         0.3%
    08:30 AM US Personal Spending MoM APR               0.2%      0.7%        0.3%         0.4%
    08:30 AM US PCE Price Index MoM APR                 0.3%      0.3%        0.3%         0.2%
    08:30 AM US PCE Price Index YoY APR                 2.7%      2.7%        2.7%         2.6%
    08:30 AM US Core PCE Price Index YoY APR            2.8%      2.8%        2.8%         2.7%
    09:45 AM US Chicago PMI MAY                         35.4      37.9        41           39
    01:00 PM US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count MAY/31       496       497
    01:00 PM US Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count MAY/31    600       600
    06:15 PM US Fed Bostic Speech

:?: What drove the markets up today after 12:30 pm? It was going down till then. Just want to understand the move.

:!: hypothesis

  • people selling put options earlier in the morning and then buying them back later
    • this requires market makers or dealers to buy put options earlier and then to sell them later
    • market makers or dealers will hedge their position by selling stocks earlier and then buying them later
  • month end
    • automatic reinvestments of dividends from money market funds
  • Friday
diary/2024-05/2024-05-31.txt · Last modified: 2024/06/01 05:52 by raju